Retained

Allocation

Category Codes

Risk

Timing

Description

Consequence

Rationale/Mitigation

Risk Expert

Probability

Consequence

@ Risk Distribution

@ Risk Discrete Distrib'n

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yes

No

Best

Most likely

Worst

Yes

No

 

Retained

S1

Risk of lengthy approval time

C

Risk that the approval process is longer than anticipated.

Delay in works commencenent or completion and cost increases.

The State can ensure that approval time is conservative in planning Project timelines

[insert name of risk expert/ source of risk estimate for each risk]

22%

78%

800

1000

1200

1000.0

0

0

 

S5

Native title risk

C

Risk of native title claims on the Site.

Delay in progess of construction and /or compensation to be paid to the claimants.

Undertake a search and inquiry

 

1%

99%

200

300

500

339.7

0

0

 

S8

Site access

C

Risk that some of, or the entire site is not accessible as expected by the private party.

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

The State has purchased the preferred Site. Site access to be determined prior to tender.

 

15%

85%

100

150

400

229.9

0

0

 

S13

Site availability

C

Risk that the designated site is unavailable.

Delay in works commencenent or completion and cost increases.

The State purchased the preferred site for the Hospital in early 2001.

 

7%

93%

750

800

1000

859.8

0

0

 

SC1

Change in Hospital Operator requirements between now and Commissioning

C

Risk of changes to the service outputs required from the private party as specified by Hospital Operator

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

The State will absorb changes to the specifications in order for the private party to comply with the revised specifications.

 

22%

78%

200

250

350

269.8

0

0

 

SC2

Change in Hospital Operator requirements between now and Commissioning

O

Risk of changes to the service outputs required from the private party as specified by Hospital Operator

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

The State will absorb changes to the specifications in order for the private party to comply with the revised specifications.

 

22%

78%

30

50

85

55.9

0

0

 

SC3

Inadequate briefing of service specifications

C

Risk that service specifications are inadequately briefed

Facility may need to be redesigned or modified leading to increase in costs.

The State is to ensure that a communication strategy is developed for all stakeholders in the Project. The Service Profile is to be agreed with DHS and the Facility is specified to meet at least the generic brief which has been demonstrated as adequate for service delivery based on Hospital Operator experience.

 

44%

56%

500

600

800

639.7

0

0

 

SC4

Inadequate briefing of service specifications

O

Facility may be inefficient leading to increase in recurrent costs.

Facility may need to be redesigned or modified leading to increase in costs.

The State is to ensure that a communication strategy is developed for all stakeholders in the Project.The Service Profile is to be agreed with DHS and the Facility is to be specified to meet at least the generic brief which has been demonstrated as adequate for service delivery based on Hospital Operator experience.

 

15%

85%

100

150

300

189.8

0

0

 

SC5

Equipment specification

C

Risk that the specifications for equipment are inadequate.

Increase in costs and delay in operations.

The State will reimburse the reasonable costs incurred for any State initiated variations to the service specifications.

 

22%

78%

500

550

700

589.8

0

0

 

SC6

Equipment specification

O1

Risk that the specifications for equipment are inadequate.

Increase in costs and delay in operations.

The State will reimburse the reasonable costs incurred for any State initiated variations to the service specifications.

 

22%

78%

200

350

500

350.0

0

0

 

SC7

Clinical equipment specification

C

Risk that the specifications for clinical equipment are inadequate.

Increase in costs and delay in operations.

The State will reimburse the reasonable costs incurred for any State initiated variations to the service specifications. Use of backup equipment from other Hospital Operator hospitals.

 

22%

78%

2000

2500

4000

2897.7

0

0

 

SC8

Clinical equipment specification

O

Risk that the specifications for clinical equipment are inadequate.

Increase in costs and delay in operations.

The State will reimburse the reasonable costs incurred for any State initiated variations to the service specifications. Use of backup equipment from other Hospital Operator hospitals.

 

22%

78%

1000

1200

1800

1359.1

0

0

 

SC9

Local council requirements -Car parking

C

Risk that local council will require a significant increase in the car parking requirements.

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

Obtain council opinion on the car parking requirements as part of the approvals process.

 

15%

85%

50

75

200

114.9

0

0

 

SC10

State Initiated Variations

C

Risk that the State changes the design, construction or commissioning requirements or service specifications.

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

The State will reimburse the reasonable costs incurred by the private party for any State initiated variations.

 

44%

56%

450

550

900

649.5

0

0

 

SC11

State Initiated Variations

O

Risk that the State changes the design, construction or commissioning requirements or service specifications.

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

The State will reimburse the reasonable costs incurred by the operator for any State initiated variations.

 

44%

56%

300

350

550

409.8

0

0

 

D3

Inadequate and inefficient circulation routes

C

Risk that the extent of circulation within functional units and travel between functional units do not support the operational requirements of the Hospital.

Increase in cost

Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and clinical functionality is to be approved by Hospital Operator.

 

15%

85%

100

120

400

224.8

0

0

 

D4

Inadequate and inefficient circulation routes

O

Risk that the extent of circulation within functional units and travel between functional units do not support the operational requirements of the Hospital.

Increase in staff time to carry out their duties

Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and clinical functionality is to be approved by Hospital Operator.

 

15%

85%

50

65

90

69.0

0

0

 

C3

Clinical equipment price changes

C

Risk that the price of clinical equipment will change from now to the end of construction phase.

Increase in costs

 

 

44%

56%

3000

3500

5000

3897.7

0

0

 

O1

Design inefficiencies

O

Risk that the design of the Hospital is not efficient for staff to carry out their duties. This risk does not include inadequate and inefficient circulation routes.

Increase in staff time to carry out their duties and reduction in quality of patient care by Hospital Operator.

Hospital Operator to endorse clinical functionality of design prior to construction

 

22%

78%

100

250

400

250.0

0

0

 

O2

Inability to attract sufficient clinical staff

O1

Risk that Hospital Operator is unable to employ the quality and number of staff required for the Hospital

Quality of Hospital Operator service to patients may suffer.

Allow sufficient lead time for recruitment, provision of incentives

 

22%

78%

200

500

1000

579.3

0

0

 

L3

Change in Law risk

O

A change in Law which is limited in its application to any of the following: the Project, provision of publicly funded health care premises in Victoria, or other States within Australia including Victoria, or provision of health care accommodation services by the private sector to the public sector for operation as a publicly funded hospital in Victoria or other States within Australia including Victoria.

Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change.

This will be a retained risk

 

29%

71%

600

900

1500

1019.0

0

0

 

SC17

Area requirement specification

 

Risk that the specifications of the area requirements are inadequate.

Facility may need to be redesigned or modified leading to increase in costs.

The State will reimburse the reasonable costs incurred by the private party for any State initiated variations to the service specifications.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

D18

Future expansion design

 

Risk that the design of the building does not take into account the appropriate expansion of the Facility

Restriction in expansion options.

Discuss expansion requirements with Hospital Operator to ensure design reflects expected expansion requirements.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SF6

Risk of third party negligence.

 

The risk that third party negligence leads to a claim made against the State.

Potential litigation and increase in insurance premiums

The State will ensure that it will obtain third party insurance.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

O3

GPs close their out of hours services

 

Risk that local GPs will close their out of hours services, hence unanticipated increase in patient demand on the hospital

Increase in costs

The State will conduct a detailed service specification incorporating future changes to GP out of hours services to ensure that unanticipated additional services/ facilities are kept to a minimum.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

O4

Unexpected change in patient demand

 

Risk that expected demand for clinical services is different from that specified in the scope of the Project.

Delay and cost increases

The State will conduct a detailed service specification incorporating future projected changes in population where possible to ensure that unanticipated additional services/ facilities are kept to a minimum.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

O5

Unexpected change in patient demand

 

Risk that expected demand for clinical services is different from that specified in the scope of the Project and therefore impacts on private sector services required.

Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change.

The State will conduct a detailed service specification incorporating future projected changes in population where possible to ensure that unanticipated additional services/ facilities are kept to a minimum.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

O6

Emergency demand

 

Risk that Emergency demand is greater than expected.

Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change.

The State will undertake the appropriate research and using current projections make an informed estimate.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

O7

ICU becomes mandatory for operating Emergency Department

 

Risk that standards change and intensive care units (ICU) become mandatory for operating an Emergency Department.

Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change.

The State will conduct a detailed service specification incorporating future projected changes in law where possible to ensure that unanticipated additional services/ facilities are kept to a minimum.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

E5

Price risk - water

 

Risk that water prices will change above expectations.

Increase in water costs

Hospital Operator will be responsible for price risk on water.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

E8

Volume/ usage risk - water only

 

Risk that the volume of water used is greater than anticipated.

Increase in water usage costs

Hospital Operator will be responsible for volume risk on water.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

L10

Changes to building standards for hospitals

 

Risk that that changes in building standards impact the design and construction of the Hospital.

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

L11

Changes to health care operating standards

 

Risk that changes in health care operating standards will impact on the way service is delivered by Hospital Operator.

Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change.

This risk will be borne by Hospital Operator

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

L12

Changes to health care operating standards

 

Risk that changes in health care operating standards will impact on the way service is delivered by Hospital Operator.

Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change.

This risk will be borne by Hospital Operator