Transferable

Allocation

Category Codes

Risk

Timing

Description

Consequence

Rationale/Mitigation

Risk Expert

Probability

Consequence

@ Risk Distribution

@ Risk Discrete Distrib'n

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yes

No

Best

Most likely

Worst

Yes

No

 

Transferable

S2

Adverse drainage and groundwater conditions.

C

Risk of unanticipated adverse ground conditions especially in relation to drainage and groundwater.

Additional construction time and cost.

Undertake the requisite surveys in relation to drainage and groundwater conditions.

 

22%

78%

250

300

600

400.0

0

0

 

S3

Adverse geological ground conditions.

C

Risk of unanticipated adverse ground conditions especially in relation to geotechnical ground conditions.

Additional construction time and cost.

Undertake a geotechnical site investigation assessment but the State will not provide any warranties or indemnities in relation to the information provided.

 

22%

78%

300

375

500

394.8

0

0

 

S6

Cultural heritage

C

Risk of cultural heritage discoveries

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

Undertake a search of the Victorian Heritage Register and undertake a survey of archaeological features.

 

15%

85%

100

250

350

230.2

0

0

 

S7

Unidentified Flora and fauna

C

Risk that the designated Site contains protected species of flora and fauna.

Additional construction time and cost.

Undertake a study to assess whether the site has any flora, fauna or archaeological features of significance.

 

15%

85%

100

250

600

329.4

0

0

 

S9

Inadequate water services

C

Risk that water services are inadequate to meet fire requirements.

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

The Private Party is responsible for ensuring the water services meet fire authority requirements

 

29%

71%

120

270

400

262.1

0

0

 

S10

Unavailability of services to the site

C

Risk that services (power, gas, sewer, stormwater, roads) are unavailable to the Site.

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

The Private Party is responsible for ensuring the relevant services are available to the site.

 

22%

78%

150

200

400

259.8

0

0

 

S11

Trade waste treatment

C

Risk that the requirement for the treatment of trade waste is to be conducted on site.

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

The Private Party is responsible for ensuring the treatment of trade waste complies with relevant standards

 

29%

71%

400

450

500

450.0

0

0

 

S12

Trade waste treatment

O

Risk that the requirement for the treatment of trade waste is to be conducted on site.

Unexpected increase in operating cost

The Private Party is responsible for ensuring the treatment of trade waste complies with relevant standards

 

29%

71%

100

170

300

193.8

0

0

 

SC12

Renegotiation of Victorian Building Industry Agreement

O

Risk that the renegotiation of the Victorian Building Industry Agreement produces an adverse result for the Project

Potential for decreased level of service from the Private Party, inability to meet service KPI's.

The Private Party is responsible for delivering the requisite services to the State specified KPI levels.

 

51%

49%

2750

3000

4000

3298.9

0

3298.916572

 

D1

Inadequate design of gas and bulk chemicals storage

C

Risk that the design of gas and bulk chemicals storage is inadequate.

Delay in completion, increase in costs

Tight specification of the Commissioning specification

 

22%

78%

600

750

1000

789.6

0

0

 

D2

Inadequate design of gas and bulk chemicals storage

O

Risk that the storage of gas and bulk chemicals storage is inadequate.

Gas and chemical supply may not be sufficient to service the Facility or for Hospital Operator staff to carry out their duties.

Tight specification of the Commissioning specification

 

22%

78%

200

250

400

289.8

0

0

 

D8

Building is not orientated to achieve energy conservation

C

Risk that the design of the building is not oriented to maximise the environmental benefits of sun and light and to minimise deficiency of excessive heat gain, glare and wind.

Increase in energy volume and cost

Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and endorsed by the State.

 

29%

71%

550

600

800

659.8

0

0

 

D9

Building is not orientated to achieve energy conservation

O

Risk that the design of the building is not oriented to maximise the environmental benefits of sun and light and to minimise deficiency of excessive heat gain, glare and wind.

Increase in energy volume and cost

Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and endorsed by the State.

 

29%

71%

100

150

400

229.9

0

0

 

D10

Inefficient design of the building in terms of safety and security for users

C

Risk that the design of the building impacts on appropriate vision and sight lines for all users of the Hospital

Injury to users, potential litigation and increase in insurance costs

Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and clinical functionality is to be endorsed by the State.

 

22%

78%

400

500

700

539.7

0

0

 

D11

Inefficient design of the building in terms of safety and security for users

O

Risk that the design of the building impacts on appropriate vision and sight lines for all users of the Hospital

Injury to users, potential litigation and increase in insurance costs

Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and clinical functionality is to be endorsed by the State.

 

22%

78%

175

200

300

229.9

0

0

 

D12

Design inefficiencies in terms of net area to gross area ratios

C

Risk that the design of the Facility is inefficient in terms of net area to gross area ratios.

Increased costs to rectify

Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and clinical functionality is to be endorsed by the State.

 

29%

71%

750

1000

2000

1298.9

0

0

 

D13

Design inefficiencies in terms of net area to gross area ratios

O

Risk that the design of the Facility is inefficient in terms of net area to gross area ratios.

Increased costs to rectify

Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and clinical functionality is to be endorsed by the State.

 

29%

71%

300

450

800

529.4

0

0

 

D14

Design inefficiencies in terms of sound transmission and reverberation

O2

Risk that the design does not control sound transmission and reverberation to a sufficient level.

Impact on Hospital Operator staff working conditions and quality of patient stay at the Facility. Increased cost to rectify.

Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and clinical functionality is to be endorsed by the State.

 

36%

64%

850

900

1000

919.8

0

0

 

D17

Design does not take into account clinical functionality

O2

Risk that the design is not fit for purpose in terms of clinical functionality

Delay and costs

The design of the building is the responsibility of the Private Party unless the problem arose due to inaccurate specifications by the State. The State will endorse that the design meets the clinical functionality requirements.

 

22%

78%

750

800

1000

859.8

0

0

 

C1

Construction costs

C

Risk that construction cost estimates materially change between bid and implementation due to changes in underlying costs (labour or materials).

Increase in cost

Ensure that the PSC cost estimate correctly reflects the Reference Project.

 

58%

42%

30000

32000

40000

34391.3

0

34391.33258

 

C2

Equipment price changes

C

Risk that the price of equipment will change from now to construction period.

Increase in costs

 

 

44%

56%

800

880

1000

895.8

0

0

 

C4

Substandard building

O

Risk that the final building does not meet quality standards.

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

A Commissioning process and the appointment of an Independent reviewer will help to ensure that the final product complies with the requisite standards and quality.

 

36%

64%

250

300

400

319.8

0

0

 

C5

Substandard building

C3

Risk that the final building does not meet quality standards.

Impact on Hospital Operator quality of service to patients of the Facility and increases in cost.

A Commissioning process and the appointment of an Independent reviewer will help to ensure that the final product complies with the requisite standards and quality.

 

36%

64%

100

120

200

143.9

0

0

 

C6

Industrial relations and civil commotion

C

Risks of strikes, industrial action or civil commotion during the Construction Phase

Delay and costs

The Private Party or its sub contractors are to manage Project delivery and operations.

 

58%

42%

750

800

900

819.8

0

819.8325413

 

C8

Breach of OH&S Standards

C

Risk that a breach of the OH&S Standards occurs during Construction Phase.

Additional construction time and cost.

The Contractor is to develop an OH&S plan and maintain a safe site.

 

22%

78%

600

650

800

689.8

0

0

 

C9

Risk of unexpectedly long lead times for equipment.

C3

Risk that equipment that is purchased from overseas does not arrive on time.

Delay in construction or completion

 

 

29%

71%

8000

8500

10000

8897.7

0

0

 

C10

Time Overrun

C

Risk of not meeting construction programme timeline

Delay in construction or completion

 

 

50%

50%

22000

25000

30000

25792.7

0

0

 

C11

Upgrade Costs

CO

Risk of upgrade of equipment costs

Increase in costs

 

 

58%

42%

10000

12000

15000

12396.2

0

12396.18574

 

CO1

Commissioning program for other authorities is inadequate (eg, fire, ambulance)

C3

Risk that the Commissioning program for other authorities is inadequate (eg, fire, ambulance)

Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases.

The private party is responsible for the ensuring that the Hospital meets the commissioning tests.

 

22%

78%

100

250

500

289.6

0

0

 

CO2

Commissioning cannot be successfully completed.

C3

Risk that the operational commissioning tests which are required for the provision of services to commence cannot be successfully completed. This includes the risk that delay could also be due to the building being ready, but lag time for equipment to be in place and ready for use.

Delay in Hospital Operator commencement of services. Liquidated damages will be calculated at on a daily basis.

The private party is responsible for ensuring that the Hospital meets the commissioning tests. Liquidated damages apply if delay in Hospital Operator service is caused by the private party .

 

15%

85%

14000

15000

18000

15795.3

0

0

 

O14

Operating costs are underestimated.

O

Risk that operating costs in relation to services are underestimated.

Increase in costs

The Private Party will be responsible for ensuring that their operating cost estimates are reasonable.

 

45%

55%

2000

2500

4000

2897.7

0

0

 

O15

Private Party performance risk

O

Risk that the private party does not meet the Service KPIs

Increase in cost to rectify.

The payment mechanism is linked to meeting service KPI's which the Private Party is responsible for achieving otherise deductions will be made.

 

40%

60%

4000

4500

6000

4897.7

0

0

 

O16

Equipment risk due to change in OH&S standards

O10

Risk that the Category 2 equipment (furniture and fixtures) breaches the OH&S standards due to a change in law

Increase in cost to rectify.

The State will undertake the appropriate research of the OH&S Standards in their detailed service specification to ensure that unanticipated additional services / facilities are kept to a minimum.

 

25%

75%

2000

2200

4000

2842.5

0

0

 

O17

Traffic accident review

O2

Risk that a traffic review of the Traffic Management Plan may lead to a forced change in the carparking design.

Potential need to increase size of car park or design of car park leading to increase in costs.

The State will conduct a detailed service specification incorporating possible scenarios in relation to traffic management to ensure that unanticipated additional services/ facilities are kept to a minimum.

 

36%

64%

100

150

300

189.8

0

0

 

O18

Maintenance and refurbishment risk

O

Risk that design and or construction quality is inadequate resulting in higher than anticipated refurbishment costs.

Increase in cost which may also result in a corresponding adverse effect on the Hospital Operator's ability to deliver core services.

The private party is to manage this risk through suitably qualified and resourced subcontractors and through consultation process with the State.

 

40%

60%

5000

6000

8000

6396.7

0

0

 

O19

Maintenance and refurbishment risk

O

Risk that design and or construction quality is inadequate resulting in higher than anticipated maintenance costs.

Increase in cost which may also result in a corresponding adverse effect on the Hospital Operator's ability to deliver core services.

The private party is to manage this risk through suitably qualified and resourced subcontractors and through consultation process with the State.

 

40%

60%

1250

1500

2000

1599.2

0

0

 

O20

Security

O

All risks associated with security for the Hospital including the risks that operating costs and / or industry standards change over the term of the Project.

Increase in cost which may also result in a corresponding adverse effect on the Hospital Operator's ability to deliver the Hospital's core services.

The private party is to manage this risk through long term subcontracts with suitably qualified and resourced subcontractors and through consultation processes with the State.

 

22%

78%

100

125

300

185.1

0

0

 

O21

Security

O

All risks associated with security for the Hospital including the risks that operating costs and / or industry standards change over the term of the Project.

Increase in cost which may also result in a corresponding adverse effect on the Hospital Operator's ability to deliver the Hospital's core services.

The private party is to manage this risk through long term subcontracts with suitably qualified and resourced subcontractors and through consultation processes with the State.

 

22%

78%

80

100

250

152.1

0

0

 

O22

Car park

O

All risks associated with the car park including the risks that operating costs and / or industry standards change over the term of the Project.

Increase in cost which may also result in a corresponding adverse effect on the Hospital Operator's ability to deliver the Hospital's core services.

The private sector will manage the car park within the parameters advised by the State. Should the Hospital Operator wish to change these parameters, this will require agreement with the State before implementation.

 

15%

85%

750

800

1000

859.8

0

0

 

O25

Third-party revenue risk

O

Risk that third party revenue is different from expectations

 

 

 

50%

50%

550

600

800

659.8

0

0

 

E1

Efficiency of energy systems

C

Risk that energy systems are less efficient than expected.

Increase in costs

The Private Party is responsible for ensuring efficiency in energy systems, and the State may specify that systems are to meet efficiency requirements.

 

25%

75%

750

800

1000

859.8

0

0

 

E2

Efficiency of energy systems

O

Risk that energy systems are less efficient that than expected.

Increase in energy costs

The Private Party is responsible for ensuring efficiency in energy systems, and the State may specify that systems are to meet efficiency requirements.

 

25%

75%

300

325

400

344.9

0

0

 

E3

Availability of energy

O

Risk that the energy supply is not available as required by Hospital Operator.

Loss of Hospital Operator services.

The Private Party is responsible for ensuring availability of energy systems, and the State will also specify adequate backup systems and procedures.

 

22%

78%

900

1000

1250

1059.6

0

0

 

T1

Technology Risk

O

Risk that the design life of the Hospital infrastructure proves to be shorter than anticipated resulting in earlier than anticipated refurbishment expense.

Additional capital and / or maintenance costs incurred.

The Private Party may have recourse to the designer, builder, maintenance provider or their insurers.

 

30%

70%

600

650

900

729.9

0

0

 

L1

Employer superannuation contributions

O

Risk that the Federal Government will increase the level of employer superannuation contributions.

Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change.

The private party will bear the risk of changes in their labour related costs

 

22%

78%

100

120

200

143.9

0

0

 

S14

Approvals risk

 

Risk that necessary approvals cannot be obtained or may be obtained subject to unanticipated conditions that have adverse cost consequences or cause delay in the progress of the Works.

Delay in works commencenent or completion and cost increases.

The Private Party will be responsible for obtaining the requisite planning approvals from the local government for the proposed developments.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C7

Industrial relations and civil commotion

 

Risks of strikes, industrial action or civil commotion during the Operating Phases.

Delay and costs

The Private Party or its sub contractors is to manage Project delivery and operations.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CO3

Commissioning program is inadequate (building)

 

Risk that the building commissioning program does not incorporate all the relevant standards and is therefore inadequate.

Delay in construction or completion

The private party is responsible for ensuring that the Hospital meets the commissioning tests.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CO4

Commissioning program is inadequate (human commissioning)

 

Risk that human commissioning program which primarily relates to staff training regarding how the building operates is inadequate.

Delay in the commencement of Hospital Operator operations and/or impact on Hospital Operator quality of service to patients.

The private party is responsible for ensuring that the Hospital meets the commissioning tests.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SF2

Foreign exchange rate movement - (engineering equipment purchased overseas)

 

Risk of adverse movements in Foreign exchange rates in relation to engineering equipment

Increase in cost

The Private Party can hedge their exposure to foreign exchange.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

O10

Changes in development around the hospital

 

Risk that changes in local use and future developments around the hospital have an adverse impact on the hospital, eg fall in water pressure.

Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change.

The State will undertake the appropriate research of the surrounding area and incorporate this in their detailed service specification to ensure that unanticipated additional services / facilities are kept to a minimum.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

O11

Changes in development around the hospital

 

Risk that changes in local use and future developments around the hospital have an adverse impact on the hospital, eg fall in water pressure.

Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change.

The State will undertake the appropriate research of the surrounding area and incorporate this in their detailed service specification to ensure that unanticipated additional services / facilities are kept to a minimum.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

O23

Car park

 

All risks associated with the car park including the risks that operating costs and / or industry standards change over the term of the Project.

Increase in cost which may also result in a corresponding adverse effect on the Hospital Operator's ability to deliver the Hospital's core services.

The private sector will manage the car park within the parameters advised by the State. Should the Hospital Operator wish to change these parameters, this will require agreement with the State before implementation.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

O24

Slow response to help desk calls

 

Risk that slow response to help desk calls results in someone incurring an injury.

Reduction in service payments to the Private Party, potential litigation by the injured person.

The payment mechanism is linked to meeting service KPIs which the Private Party is responsible for achieving.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

E4

Availability of energy

 

Risk that the energy supply is not available as required by Hospital Operator.

Loss of Hospital Operator services.

The Private Party is responsible for ensuring availability of energy systems, and the State will also specify adequate backup systems and procedures.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

E6

Price risk - electricity and gas

 

Risk that electricity and gas prices will change above expectations.

Increase in energy costs

This will be a shared risk as an estimated 70% of electricity and gas usage is due to infrastructure and the remaining 30% is operational.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

E7

Volume/ usage risk - electricty and gas

 

Risk that the volume of electricity and gas used is greater than anticipated.

Increase in electricity and gas costs

This will be a shared risk as an estimated 70% of electricity and gas usage is due to infrastructure and the remaining 30% is operational.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

L4

Change in State legislation

 

Risk of changes in State legislation which does not take into account L3

Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change.

General changes in the business environment are part of the Private Party's general business risk profile.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

L5

Change in Federal legislation

 

Risk of changes in Federal legislation especially in the areas of insurance and aged care that are not included in L3

Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change.

General changes in the business environment are part of the Private Party's general business risk profile.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

L6

Change in Government policy

 

Risk of changes to Government policy, especially with regard to industrial relations requirements that are not included in L3

Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change.

General changes in the business environment are part of the Private Party's general business risk profile.