Transferable
Allocation | Category Codes | Risk | Timing | Description | Consequence | Rationale/Mitigation | Risk Expert | Probability | Consequence | @ Risk Distribution | @ Risk Discrete Distrib'n | ||||
Yes | No | Best | Most likely | Worst | Yes | No | |||||||||
Transferable | S2 | Adverse drainage and groundwater conditions. | Risk of unanticipated adverse ground conditions especially in relation to drainage and groundwater. | Additional construction time and cost. | Undertake the requisite surveys in relation to drainage and groundwater conditions. | 22% | 78% | 250 | 300 | 600 | 400.0 | 0 | 0 | ||
S3 | Adverse geological ground conditions. | Risk of unanticipated adverse ground conditions especially in relation to geotechnical ground conditions. | Additional construction time and cost. | Undertake a geotechnical site investigation assessment but the State will not provide any warranties or indemnities in relation to the information provided. | 22% | 78% | 300 | 375 | 500 | 394.8 | 0 | 0 | |||
S6 | Cultural heritage | Risk of cultural heritage discoveries | Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases. | Undertake a search of the Victorian Heritage Register and undertake a survey of archaeological features. | 15% | 85% | 100 | 250 | 350 | 230.2 | 0 | 0 | |||
S7 | Unidentified Flora and fauna | Risk that the designated Site contains protected species of flora and fauna. | Additional construction time and cost. | Undertake a study to assess whether the site has any flora, fauna or archaeological features of significance. | 15% | 85% | 100 | 250 | 600 | 329.4 | 0 | 0 | |||
S9 | Inadequate water services | Risk that water services are inadequate to meet fire requirements. | Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases. | The Private Party is responsible for ensuring the water services meet fire authority requirements | 29% | 71% | 120 | 270 | 400 | 262.1 | 0 | 0 | |||
S10 | Unavailability of services to the site | Risk that services (power, gas, sewer, stormwater, roads) are unavailable to the Site. | Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases. | The Private Party is responsible for ensuring the relevant services are available to the site. | 22% | 78% | 150 | 200 | 400 | 259.8 | 0 | 0 | |||
S11 | Trade waste treatment | Risk that the requirement for the treatment of trade waste is to be conducted on site. | Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases. | The Private Party is responsible for ensuring the treatment of trade waste complies with relevant standards | 29% | 71% | 400 | 450 | 500 | 450.0 | 0 | 0 | |||
S12 | Trade waste treatment | Risk that the requirement for the treatment of trade waste is to be conducted on site. | Unexpected increase in operating cost | The Private Party is responsible for ensuring the treatment of trade waste complies with relevant standards | 29% | 71% | 100 | 170 | 300 | 193.8 | 0 | 0 | |||
SC12 | Renegotiation of Victorian Building Industry Agreement | Risk that the renegotiation of the Victorian Building Industry Agreement produces an adverse result for the Project | Potential for decreased level of service from the Private Party, inability to meet service KPI's. | The Private Party is responsible for delivering the requisite services to the State specified KPI levels. | 51% | 49% | 2750 | 3000 | 4000 | 3298.9 | 0 | 3298.916572 | |||
D1 | Inadequate design of gas and bulk chemicals storage | Risk that the design of gas and bulk chemicals storage is inadequate. | Delay in completion, increase in costs | Tight specification of the Commissioning specification | 22% | 78% | 600 | 750 | 1000 | 789.6 | 0 | 0 | |||
D2 | Inadequate design of gas and bulk chemicals storage | Risk that the storage of gas and bulk chemicals storage is inadequate. | Gas and chemical supply may not be sufficient to service the Facility or for Hospital Operator staff to carry out their duties. | Tight specification of the Commissioning specification | 22% | 78% | 200 | 250 | 400 | 289.8 | 0 | 0 | |||
D8 | Building is not orientated to achieve energy conservation | Risk that the design of the building is not oriented to maximise the environmental benefits of sun and light and to minimise deficiency of excessive heat gain, glare and wind. | Increase in energy volume and cost | Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and endorsed by the State. | 29% | 71% | 550 | 600 | 800 | 659.8 | 0 | 0 | |||
D9 | Building is not orientated to achieve energy conservation | Risk that the design of the building is not oriented to maximise the environmental benefits of sun and light and to minimise deficiency of excessive heat gain, glare and wind. | Increase in energy volume and cost | Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and endorsed by the State. | 29% | 71% | 100 | 150 | 400 | 229.9 | 0 | 0 | |||
D10 | Inefficient design of the building in terms of safety and security for users | Risk that the design of the building impacts on appropriate vision and sight lines for all users of the Hospital | Injury to users, potential litigation and increase in insurance costs | Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and clinical functionality is to be endorsed by the State. | 22% | 78% | 400 | 500 | 700 | 539.7 | 0 | 0 | |||
D11 | Inefficient design of the building in terms of safety and security for users | Risk that the design of the building impacts on appropriate vision and sight lines for all users of the Hospital | Injury to users, potential litigation and increase in insurance costs | Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and clinical functionality is to be endorsed by the State. | 22% | 78% | 175 | 200 | 300 | 229.9 | 0 | 0 | |||
D12 | Design inefficiencies in terms of net area to gross area ratios | Risk that the design of the Facility is inefficient in terms of net area to gross area ratios. | Increased costs to rectify | Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and clinical functionality is to be endorsed by the State. | 29% | 71% | 750 | 1000 | 2000 | 1298.9 | 0 | 0 | |||
D13 | Design inefficiencies in terms of net area to gross area ratios | Risk that the design of the Facility is inefficient in terms of net area to gross area ratios. | Increased costs to rectify | Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and clinical functionality is to be endorsed by the State. | 29% | 71% | 300 | 450 | 800 | 529.4 | 0 | 0 | |||
D14 | Design inefficiencies in terms of sound transmission and reverberation | Risk that the design does not control sound transmission and reverberation to a sufficient level. | Impact on Hospital Operator staff working conditions and quality of patient stay at the Facility. Increased cost to rectify. | Design of the building to be conducted by appropriately qualified experts and clinical functionality is to be endorsed by the State. | 36% | 64% | 850 | 900 | 1000 | 919.8 | 0 | 0 | |||
D17 | Design does not take into account clinical functionality | Risk that the design is not fit for purpose in terms of clinical functionality | Delay and costs | The design of the building is the responsibility of the Private Party unless the problem arose due to inaccurate specifications by the State. The State will endorse that the design meets the clinical functionality requirements. | 22% | 78% | 750 | 800 | 1000 | 859.8 | 0 | 0 | |||
C1 | Construction costs | Risk that construction cost estimates materially change between bid and implementation due to changes in underlying costs (labour or materials). | Increase in cost | Ensure that the PSC cost estimate correctly reflects the Reference Project. | 58% | 42% | 30000 | 32000 | 40000 | 34391.3 | 0 | 34391.33258 | |||
C2 | Equipment price changes | Risk that the price of equipment will change from now to construction period. | Increase in costs | 44% | 56% | 800 | 880 | 1000 | 895.8 | 0 | 0 | ||||
C4 | Substandard building | Risk that the final building does not meet quality standards. | Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases. | A Commissioning process and the appointment of an Independent reviewer will help to ensure that the final product complies with the requisite standards and quality. | 36% | 64% | 250 | 300 | 400 | 319.8 | 0 | 0 | |||
C5 | Substandard building | Risk that the final building does not meet quality standards. | Impact on Hospital Operator quality of service to patients of the Facility and increases in cost. | A Commissioning process and the appointment of an Independent reviewer will help to ensure that the final product complies with the requisite standards and quality. | 36% | 64% | 100 | 120 | 200 | 143.9 | 0 | 0 | |||
C6 | Industrial relations and civil commotion | Risks of strikes, industrial action or civil commotion during the Construction Phase | Delay and costs | The Private Party or its sub contractors are to manage Project delivery and operations. | 58% | 42% | 750 | 800 | 900 | 819.8 | 0 | 819.8325413 | |||
C8 | Breach of OH&S Standards | Risk that a breach of the OH&S Standards occurs during Construction Phase. | Additional construction time and cost. | The Contractor is to develop an OH&S plan and maintain a safe site. | 22% | 78% | 600 | 650 | 800 | 689.8 | 0 | 0 | |||
C9 | Risk of unexpectedly long lead times for equipment. | Risk that equipment that is purchased from overseas does not arrive on time. | Delay in construction or completion | 29% | 71% | 8000 | 8500 | 10000 | 8897.7 | 0 | 0 | ||||
C10 | Time Overrun | Risk of not meeting construction programme timeline | Delay in construction or completion | 50% | 50% | 22000 | 25000 | 30000 | 25792.7 | 0 | 0 | ||||
C11 | Upgrade Costs | Risk of upgrade of equipment costs | Increase in costs | 58% | 42% | 10000 | 12000 | 15000 | 12396.2 | 0 | 12396.18574 | ||||
CO1 | Commissioning program for other authorities is inadequate (eg, fire, ambulance) | Risk that the Commissioning program for other authorities is inadequate (eg, fire, ambulance) | Delay in works commencement or completion and cost increases. | The private party is responsible for the ensuring that the Hospital meets the commissioning tests. | 22% | 78% | 100 | 250 | 500 | 289.6 | 0 | 0 | |||
CO2 | Commissioning cannot be successfully completed. | Risk that the operational commissioning tests which are required for the provision of services to commence cannot be successfully completed. This includes the risk that delay could also be due to the building being ready, but lag time for equipment to be in place and ready for use. | Delay in Hospital Operator commencement of services. Liquidated damages will be calculated at on a daily basis. | The private party is responsible for ensuring that the Hospital meets the commissioning tests. Liquidated damages apply if delay in Hospital Operator service is caused by the private party . | 15% | 85% | 14000 | 15000 | 18000 | 15795.3 | 0 | 0 | |||
O14 | Operating costs are underestimated. | Risk that operating costs in relation to services are underestimated. | Increase in costs | The Private Party will be responsible for ensuring that their operating cost estimates are reasonable. | 45% | 55% | 2000 | 2500 | 4000 | 2897.7 | 0 | 0 | |||
O15 | Private Party performance risk | Risk that the private party does not meet the Service KPIs | Increase in cost to rectify. | The payment mechanism is linked to meeting service KPI's which the Private Party is responsible for achieving otherise deductions will be made. | 40% | 60% | 4000 | 4500 | 6000 | 4897.7 | 0 | 0 | |||
O16 | Equipment risk due to change in OH&S standards | Risk that the Category 2 equipment (furniture and fixtures) breaches the OH&S standards due to a change in law | Increase in cost to rectify. | The State will undertake the appropriate research of the OH&S Standards in their detailed service specification to ensure that unanticipated additional services / facilities are kept to a minimum. | 25% | 75% | 2000 | 2200 | 4000 | 2842.5 | 0 | 0 | |||
O17 | Traffic accident review | Risk that a traffic review of the Traffic Management Plan may lead to a forced change in the carparking design. | Potential need to increase size of car park or design of car park leading to increase in costs. | The State will conduct a detailed service specification incorporating possible scenarios in relation to traffic management to ensure that unanticipated additional services/ facilities are kept to a minimum. | 36% | 64% | 100 | 150 | 300 | 189.8 | 0 | 0 | |||
O18 | Maintenance and refurbishment risk | Risk that design and or construction quality is inadequate resulting in higher than anticipated refurbishment costs. | Increase in cost which may also result in a corresponding adverse effect on the Hospital Operator's ability to deliver core services. | The private party is to manage this risk through suitably qualified and resourced subcontractors and through consultation process with the State. | 40% | 60% | 5000 | 6000 | 8000 | 6396.7 | 0 | 0 | |||
O19 | Maintenance and refurbishment risk | Risk that design and or construction quality is inadequate resulting in higher than anticipated maintenance costs. | Increase in cost which may also result in a corresponding adverse effect on the Hospital Operator's ability to deliver core services. | The private party is to manage this risk through suitably qualified and resourced subcontractors and through consultation process with the State. | 40% | 60% | 1250 | 1500 | 2000 | 1599.2 | 0 | 0 | |||
O20 | Security | All risks associated with security for the Hospital including the risks that operating costs and / or industry standards change over the term of the Project. | Increase in cost which may also result in a corresponding adverse effect on the Hospital Operator's ability to deliver the Hospital's core services. | The private party is to manage this risk through long term subcontracts with suitably qualified and resourced subcontractors and through consultation processes with the State. | 22% | 78% | 100 | 125 | 300 | 185.1 | 0 | 0 | |||
O21 | Security | All risks associated with security for the Hospital including the risks that operating costs and / or industry standards change over the term of the Project. | Increase in cost which may also result in a corresponding adverse effect on the Hospital Operator's ability to deliver the Hospital's core services. | The private party is to manage this risk through long term subcontracts with suitably qualified and resourced subcontractors and through consultation processes with the State. | 22% | 78% | 80 | 100 | 250 | 152.1 | 0 | 0 | |||
O22 | Car park | All risks associated with the car park including the risks that operating costs and / or industry standards change over the term of the Project. | Increase in cost which may also result in a corresponding adverse effect on the Hospital Operator's ability to deliver the Hospital's core services. | The private sector will manage the car park within the parameters advised by the State. Should the Hospital Operator wish to change these parameters, this will require agreement with the State before implementation. | 15% | 85% | 750 | 800 | 1000 | 859.8 | 0 | 0 | |||
O25 | Third-party revenue risk | Risk that third party revenue is different from expectations | 50% | 50% | 550 | 600 | 800 | 659.8 | 0 | 0 | |||||
E1 | Efficiency of energy systems | Risk that energy systems are less efficient than expected. | Increase in costs | The Private Party is responsible for ensuring efficiency in energy systems, and the State may specify that systems are to meet efficiency requirements. | 25% | 75% | 750 | 800 | 1000 | 859.8 | 0 | 0 | |||
E2 | Efficiency of energy systems | Risk that energy systems are less efficient that than expected. | Increase in energy costs | The Private Party is responsible for ensuring efficiency in energy systems, and the State may specify that systems are to meet efficiency requirements. | 25% | 75% | 300 | 325 | 400 | 344.9 | 0 | 0 | |||
E3 | Availability of energy | Risk that the energy supply is not available as required by Hospital Operator. | Loss of Hospital Operator services. | The Private Party is responsible for ensuring availability of energy systems, and the State will also specify adequate backup systems and procedures. | 22% | 78% | 900 | 1000 | 1250 | 1059.6 | 0 | 0 | |||
T1 | Technology Risk | Risk that the design life of the Hospital infrastructure proves to be shorter than anticipated resulting in earlier than anticipated refurbishment expense. | Additional capital and / or maintenance costs incurred. | The Private Party may have recourse to the designer, builder, maintenance provider or their insurers. | 30% | 70% | 600 | 650 | 900 | 729.9 | 0 | 0 | |||
L1 | Employer superannuation contributions | Risk that the Federal Government will increase the level of employer superannuation contributions. | Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change. | The private party will bear the risk of changes in their labour related costs | 22% | 78% | 100 | 120 | 200 | 143.9 | 0 | 0 | |||
S14 | Approvals risk | Risk that necessary approvals cannot be obtained or may be obtained subject to unanticipated conditions that have adverse cost consequences or cause delay in the progress of the Works. | Delay in works commencenent or completion and cost increases. | The Private Party will be responsible for obtaining the requisite planning approvals from the local government for the proposed developments. | |||||||||||
C7 | Industrial relations and civil commotion | Risks of strikes, industrial action or civil commotion during the Operating Phases. | Delay and costs | The Private Party or its sub contractors is to manage Project delivery and operations. | |||||||||||
CO3 | Commissioning program is inadequate (building) | Risk that the building commissioning program does not incorporate all the relevant standards and is therefore inadequate. | Delay in construction or completion | The private party is responsible for ensuring that the Hospital meets the commissioning tests. | |||||||||||
CO4 | Commissioning program is inadequate (human commissioning) | Risk that human commissioning program which primarily relates to staff training regarding how the building operates is inadequate. | Delay in the commencement of Hospital Operator operations and/or impact on Hospital Operator quality of service to patients. | The private party is responsible for ensuring that the Hospital meets the commissioning tests. | |||||||||||
SF2 | Foreign exchange rate movement - (engineering equipment purchased overseas) | Risk of adverse movements in Foreign exchange rates in relation to engineering equipment | Increase in cost | The Private Party can hedge their exposure to foreign exchange. | |||||||||||
O10 | Changes in development around the hospital | Risk that changes in local use and future developments around the hospital have an adverse impact on the hospital, eg fall in water pressure. | Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change. | The State will undertake the appropriate research of the surrounding area and incorporate this in their detailed service specification to ensure that unanticipated additional services / facilities are kept to a minimum. | |||||||||||
O11 | Changes in development around the hospital | Risk that changes in local use and future developments around the hospital have an adverse impact on the hospital, eg fall in water pressure. | Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change. | The State will undertake the appropriate research of the surrounding area and incorporate this in their detailed service specification to ensure that unanticipated additional services / facilities are kept to a minimum. | |||||||||||
O23 | Car park | All risks associated with the car park including the risks that operating costs and / or industry standards change over the term of the Project. | Increase in cost which may also result in a corresponding adverse effect on the Hospital Operator's ability to deliver the Hospital's core services. | The private sector will manage the car park within the parameters advised by the State. Should the Hospital Operator wish to change these parameters, this will require agreement with the State before implementation. | |||||||||||
O24 | Slow response to help desk calls | Risk that slow response to help desk calls results in someone incurring an injury. | Reduction in service payments to the Private Party, potential litigation by the injured person. | The payment mechanism is linked to meeting service KPIs which the Private Party is responsible for achieving. | |||||||||||
E4 | Availability of energy | Risk that the energy supply is not available as required by Hospital Operator. | Loss of Hospital Operator services. | The Private Party is responsible for ensuring availability of energy systems, and the State will also specify adequate backup systems and procedures. | |||||||||||
E6 | Price risk - electricity and gas | Risk that electricity and gas prices will change above expectations. | Increase in energy costs | This will be a shared risk as an estimated 70% of electricity and gas usage is due to infrastructure and the remaining 30% is operational. | |||||||||||
E7 | Volume/ usage risk - electricty and gas | Risk that the volume of electricity and gas used is greater than anticipated. | Increase in electricity and gas costs | This will be a shared risk as an estimated 70% of electricity and gas usage is due to infrastructure and the remaining 30% is operational. | |||||||||||
L4 | Change in State legislation | Risk of changes in State legislation which does not take into account L3 | Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change. | General changes in the business environment are part of the Private Party's general business risk profile. | |||||||||||
L5 | Change in Federal legislation | Risk of changes in Federal legislation especially in the areas of insurance and aged care that are not included in L3 | Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change. | General changes in the business environment are part of the Private Party's general business risk profile. | |||||||||||
L6 | Change in Government policy | Risk of changes to Government policy, especially with regard to industrial relations requirements that are not included in L3 | Adverse cost consequences in order to comply with the change. | General changes in the business environment are part of the Private Party's general business risk profile. | |||||||||||